Don’s Conservative Politics

April 22, 2011

Increasing Oil and Gas Prices

Filed under: Uncategorized — suemdonk @ 9:23 am

With the rising oil and gas prices and all the political hyperbole that is occurring I did some research.

June 2100 1 Euro = $1.19 . April 2011, 1 Euro = $1.45 (USD -28% change)

1 Pound = $1.44, 1 Pound = 1.65 (-14.5% change)

$1 US  =$1.05 Canada , $1 US = $0.95 Canada(-10.5% change)

Oil Prices = $70 in June 2010 and $112 in April 2011 (60% increase)

Conclusion: 25 to 50% of the price increase in Oil is due to loss of value of the US dollar in the world financial system

From the US Energy Information Agency

http://www.eia.doe.gov/steo/

World Oil Production will increase by 650,000 barrels per day

World Oil Consumption will increase by 1,500,000 barrels per day

2010 usage was about 85,000,000 barrels per day.

This is 1% less supply than demand in 2011 vs 2010.

This is the same government agency predicting average gas price in the US for April 1 to Sept 1 to by $3.86 a gallon so this data can only be suspect, but it is what it is since gas prices are already at this level.

Conclusion:

Weakening dollar (and predictions are this will continue) and decreasing supply relative to demand for Oil is setting up a situation where Energy prices will increase dramatically.

Why would someone sell something today when tomorrow it will bring more dollars just due to currency fluctuations?

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